Alabama just lost to rival Auburn 26-14 in the Iron Bowl, but this doesn’t necessarily cost the Crimson Tide a College Football Playoff berth.
Alabama has just one loss, but also a relatively sparse playoff resume, with the team’s best win coming over Mississippi State.
The Crimson Tide also miss out on a chance to win a conference title, while Auburn and Georgia both have very good opportunities to boost their own credentials in Atlanta.
Still, depending on how things shake out, the Crimson Tide aren’t totally done yet. FiveThirtyEight‘s Nate Silver pointed out that even with a loss, his site’s playoff model gives Bama a 50/50 chance to make the four-team field.
FWIW, we have Alabama at 50/50 to make the playoff if they lose today.
Could yield some very messy scenarios, e.g. 2-loss conference champion Ohio State vs. 1-loss non-champ Alabama.https://t.co/LsTi0SxIOV
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 25, 2017
Heading over to FiveThirtyEight‘s playoff prediction model, that checks out. It does not account for results in the SEC Championship between Auburn and Georgia, Big Ten Championship between Ohio State and Wisconsin, or the ACC Championship between Clemson and Miami, all College Football Playoff contenders, though. Oklahoma is also looking at a probable berth with a Big 12 Championship win.
Alabama may not be totally down and out, but today is looking like a huge blow, nevertheless.