It’s no secret that Duke freshman Zion Williamson has become a star attraction, not just for the Blue Devils, but for basketball fans as a whole. It isn’t just his combination of size and speed that has been making people giddy over the idea of seeing him in the NBA. Williamson’s on-court efficiency has been a marvel as well, and one metric analysis shows that he’s among the best players of the past decade in college basketball.
FiveThirtyEight calculated Williamson’s Box Plus/Minus (BPM), which “estimates the number of points per 100 possessions a player contributes above (or below) average using stats found in the box score,” as well as his “player efficiency rating,” which calculates positive moments versus negative moments.
Among just Duke players, Williamson blew his contemporaries out of the water. His efficiency was 41.9 – the best of any Duke player since the 2010-11 season, while his BPM was +20.4, also the best of any Duke player in that span.
For a little comparison, here is chart showing how Willamson fared with those combined metrics:
— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) December 13, 2018
FiveThirtyEight also calculated Williamson’s points per possession percentile and found that he was better than previous No. 1 overall NBA Draft picks such as Markelle Fultz, Ben Simmons, Andrew Wiggins, John Wall, and Blake Griffin among others.
He’s only played in 10 games so far, but even that small sampling is incredibly impressive.
Suffice it to say, Williamson looks increasingly like a sure-thing as the No. 1 overall pick whenever he chooses to enter the NBA.