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ESPN Computer's Prediction For North Carolina vs. Saint Peter's

North Carolina v Baylor

FORT WORTH, TEXAS - MARCH 19: Armando Bacot #5 of the North Carolina Tar Heels reacts after defeating the Baylor Bears 93-86 in overtime during the second round of the 2022 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament at Dickies Arena on March 19, 2022 in Fort Worth, Texas. (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images)

Two teams that have shocked everyone this NCAA Tournament (one more than the other) do battle in the Elite Eight tonight as North Carolina take on Saint Peter's.

Despite entering the NCAA Tournament as the 8 seed in the East, North Carolina has been the higher seed in two of their last three games. It'll be three after tonight. But their big win came against reigning champion Baylor thanks to a sensational 30-point game from R.J. Davis. That win alone gives them the credibility to potentially go all the way.

Standing in the way of a historic Final Four appearance for North Carolina is a team on a far more historic run: The Saint Peter's Peacocks. They became the first 15 seed to reach the Elite Eight and have the tools to become the first to reach the Final Four. With wins over Kentucky, Murray State and Purdue, they clearly have what it takes to upset North Carolina.

ESPN’s computer model has released its prediction for the North Carolina vs. Saint Peter's game.

ESPN’s computer model believes that North Carolina is almost assured of victory over Saint Peter's. The computer model gives the Tar Heels an 81.0-percent chance to win tonight's game.

But that shouldn't be too reassuring to Tar Heels fans. After all, Kentucky and Purdue - two teams seeded higher in region - had similar odds heading into their games against the Peacocks.

The winner of this game will take on Duke and the retiring Coach K in the Final Four. So we're either getting an arch-rivalry in Coach K's last Final Four game, or a Cinderella story.

Everything is coming into place for one of the greatest finishes in NCAA Tournament history.

The game will be played at 5:05 p.m. EST and will air on CBS.