Selection Sunday is coming up on March 11. The NCAA Tournament is almost here.
Currently, the four No. 1 seeds in the field should be Villanova, Virginia, Xavier and Kansas. That could change after the conference tournaments play out, but for now, that's what it looks like.
ESPN's Seth Walder broke down the team from each of the projected top-five seed lines that is most likely to be knocked off early. The No. 1 seed Walder says could be in danger is Kansas.
Walder chose the Jayhawks over Kansas and cited three reasons. They are depth, rebounding and Udoka Azubuike's poor free throw shooting.
Here's what Walder had to say:
The bench plays just 20.1 percent of minutes available, the fourth-lowest rate in Division I, per KenPom. Although that is not explicitly a factor in either BPI or our Giant Killers model, it does suggest that the Jayhawks are permanently on thin ice with their bigs. Azubuike's free throw shooting -- on consecutive attempts Monday vs. Texas, he hit the backboard and then air-balled short -- certainly could force the star big man to the bench at times in late, close-game situations. And their struggles on the boards makes the Jayhawks susceptible to matchup problems against certain types of teams. Missouri, Kansas' worst-case scenario among current No. 8 and No. 9 seeds, barely has a positive GK Factor over the Jayhawks but rebounding is the reason it is positive at all. Missouri would have a 26 percent chance to beat Kansas on a neutral court, while Kansas averages an 81 percent chance to win against the entire current group of possible second-round opponents.
You can read the full breakdown from ESPN here, though it is behind a paywall.
Kansas has lost in the Elite Eight each of the last two years. The Jayhawks fell to eventual national champion Villanova in 2016 and Oregon last year.
Kansas last made the Final Four in 2012 when it advanced all the way to the national title game. Can they Jayhawks snap their Final Four drought this season, or will ESPN's prediction of an early demise be proved correct?