Oklahoma football is staring down perhaps its biggest test of the regular season. The Sooners head to Dallas for the Red River Showdown with Texas, the only game that OU lost in the regular season last fall.
Entering Saturday, Texas is the second-biggest threat to Oklahoma on the year, per ESPN’s Football Power Index. No one has a particularly great chance of beating the Sooners individually, but of course running the table is very hard.
FPI gives Oklahoma a 79.8-percent chance to win on Saturday. That is slightly ahead of the Nov. 16 trip to a surprisingly feisty Baylor squad, in which OU is given a 79.2-percent chance.
Here is the full rundown for the rest of the season, per FPI:
- Oct. 12: vs. No. 11 Texas – 79.8-percent chance to win
- Oct. 19: vs. West Virginia – 96.7-percent
- Oct. 26: at Kansas State – 88.2-percent
- Nov. 9: vs. Iowa State – 84.9-percent
- Nov. 16: at No. 22 Baylor – 79.2-percent
- Nov. 23: vs. TCU – 92.3-percent
- Nov. 30: at Oklahoma State: 80.3-percent
Of course, one rough Saturday could be all it takes to knock Oklahoma from College Football Playoff discussions. Even with those overwhelming numbers, OU has a 28.4-percent chance to win out.
With really impressive teams at Alabama, Clemson, Georgia, LSU, Ohio State, and Wisconsin, OU may need to run the table to really lock in a spot in the four-team Playoff.