Rumors of Michigan’s season ending after the Penn State loss last month have been greatly exaggerated. Since then the Wolverines have gone on a tear, shredding Notre Dame, Maryland and Michigan State with increasingly impressive performances.
They now head to Memorial Stadium in Bloomington for a showdown with Indiana before their season-finale against Ohio State.
But the Hoosiers have proven to be a far more resilient team than recent years. At 7-3 they already have their highest win total in over a decade. And considering Indiana just took Penn State to the wire at Beaver Stadium, they’re not to be taken lightly.
ESPN analyst Bill Connelly has used the SP+ prediction model to determine the likely outcome of the game.
The SP+ model predicts that Michigan will beat Indiana, 28-25. Michigan has a 55-percent chance of winning the game.
🔥💰 WEEK 13 SP+ PICKS 💰💥
* Ohio State 34, Penn State 20
* UGA 32, A&M 19
* Bama 79, WCU 0 😳
* ND 42, BC 21
* Michigan 28, Indiana 25
* Baylor 35, Texas 26
* USC 40, UCLA 22
* OU 41, TCU 22
* Oregon 32, ASU 21
* Utah 43, Arizona 18 pic.twitter.com/q6zsMJKPcy
— Bill Connelly (@ESPN_BillC) November 20, 2019
That scoreline and win percentage is pretty small for a Michigan game. But it may also speak to how good Indiana has been at home this year.
The Wolverines currently boast a 23-game winning streak over the Hoosiers, and are 38-1 against them since 1968. As easy as some of those wins have been in the past, this one seems like it will be more competitive.
The game will be played at 3:30 p.m. EST and will air on ESPN.