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538: These 2 Teams Benefited The Most From Ohio State's Loss

Urban Meyer with his hands on his head.

Analytics site FiveThirtyEight has updated its projections after Ohio State football's blowout loss to Purdue. Two other programs are the clear beneficiaries of the result.

Last season, the Buckeyes were trounced by Iowa at Kinnick Stadium, 55-24. The magnitude of the loss stained the Buckeyes' resume.

Tonight was a similar game, with Ohio State falling to Purdue 49-20. The Boilermakers scored first, and only got stronger as things went along.

With the loss, FiveThirtyEight's model dropped Ohio State to the sixth-best chance to make the College Football Playoff.

The Buckeyes were jumped by Big 12 power Oklahoma, which crashed the party last year.

The other team to move up: Ohio State's hated rival Michigan, which now sits at 25-percent after beating Michigan State.

Ohio State is tied with Georgia, a 2017 CFP participant and national runner-up, at 20-percent.

FiveThirtyEight projections after Ohio State loss.


If the Buckeyes win the Big Ten and run the table, they'll still have a great shot, but Michigan looks about as good as it ever has under Jim Harbaugh, and has an elite defense. That is something Urban Meyer's team definitely can't claim.

Every week, we seem to get at least one result that really shakes up the playoff picture. The game in West Lafayette was that tonight.