Could Ohio State get left out if it wins the Big Ten?
The first College Football Playoff rankings were unveiled on Tuesday night, and some were surprised to see that Ohio State, which scored an incredible come-from-behind victory over Penn State on Saturday, were on the outside looking in. The Buckeyes came in at No. 6 – behind Georgia, Alabama, Notre Dame, Clemson and Oklahoma.
Many assume that if Ohio State keeps winning, it’ll get in regardless. But is that necessarily true? There is a disaster scenario here.
Here’s how Ohio State’s doesn’t get in:
- Alabama or Georgia stays undefeated and wins the SEC title. The committee made it clear it thinks that right now, those two teams are the best in the country. If either wins out, they’ll be the 1-seed in December.
- Notre Dame wins out, finishes 11-1 with strong victories over Miami and Stanford down the stretch. If the committee thinks Notre Dame is the third-best team now, they won’t move the Fighting Irish down if they don’t lose, right?
- If Clemson wins out and finishes 12-1, it’ll probably get in over Ohio State. Remember – the Tigers are also the defending national champions, and that probably matters.
- If Oklahoma wins out, which would include victories over Oklahoma State and TCU and then possibly one of the two again, the committee has established that it’ll have them ahead of the Buckeyes. They beat them on the road, so that would be fair.
In this scenario, even if Ohio State wins out, it likely comes in at No. 5.
There is a lot of football to be played, and upsets are bound to happen. But the Buckeyes may need a little help to get in this year.