This was supposed to be the year for Wisconsin football. The Big Ten West favorites have knocked on the door of the College Football Playoff before, and they were a trendy pick to crash the party this year.
That door may have slammed shut today.
BYU, a 23.5-point underdog coming off of a 4-9 year, went into Madison and became the first non-conference opponent to win at Camp Randall since 2003.
Rafael Gaglianone had a shot at a game-tying field goal with under a minute left, but missed wide, giving the Cougars the 24-21 win.
As expected, Wisconsin football's College Football Playoff hopes are way down after the loss.
ESPN updated its College Football Playoff predictor model after the game.
Wisconsin now has the 13th-best odds to make the Playoff, down to just six-percent.
Auburn and Boise State have both lost since the update, so there's plenty of movement ahead.
Meanwhile, at the top of the rankings are many of the teams that we've seen in the College Football Playoff throughout the years, including all four of last year's participants at 50-percent or better to make it.