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ESPN FPI Alabama vs. Oklahoma Prediction

Kyler Murray throws a pass in warmups.

NORMAN, OK - SEPTEMBER 22: Quarterback Kyler Murray #1 of the Oklahoma Sooners throws during warm ups before the game against the Army Black Knights at Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium on September 22, 2018 in Norman, Oklahoma. The Sooners defeated the Black Knights 28-21 in overtime. (Photo by Brett Deering/Getty Images)

Christmas is coming tomorrow, which means we're just a few short days away from the College Football Playoff semifinal at the Orange Bowl between Alabama and Oklahoma.

The two teams have arrived in Miami in preparation of the big game.

Even with Heisman winner Kyler Murray under center for the Sooners, they are a pretty big underdog against Nick Saban's behemoth from Tuscaloosa.

Per OddsShark, the line opened at Alabama -14.5. It has shifted a bit, and depending on the sportsbook, the line could be between 13 and 15 points, but most have settled at an even 14.

That is a lot of points to give an offense as good as Oklahoma's, and betting has been pretty even.

52-percent of bets have gone towards Oklahoma +14 points, ahead of the game so far.

As for winning the game, ESPN's Football Power Index gives Oklahoma a better than 27-percent chance of winning outright.

That number sites at 27.1-percent right now.

Alabama vs. Oklahoma FPI prediction from ESPN.


Saturday's game is projected to kick off at 8 p.m. ET. It is the second of the two semifinal games that day, following Clemson vs. Notre Dame in the Cotton Bowl.