Heading into Week 5 of the college football season, very little has changed at the very top of the polls. Clemson, Alabama, Ohio State, Oklahoma and Georgia all look like the teams to beat. But LSU, Wisconsin and Auburn have made a lot of noise as well.
The College Football Playoff poll doesn't get released for another couple of weeks. But in the interim, the ESPN College Football Playoff Predictor has given a statistical likelihood for which teams get in.
Clemson, Alabama, and Ohio State were the only teams to be given better than a 50/50 chance. Georgia, Oklahoma and LSU have a better than 1/3 chance to get in.
Here are the ten favorites from the ESPN College Football Playoff Predictor:
- Clemson - 77%
- Alabama - 71%
- Ohio State - 59%
- Georgia - 47%
- Oklahoma - 36%
- LSU - 33%
- Wisconsin - 20%
- Notre Dame - 18%
- Auburn - 15%
- Penn State - 7%
As usual, the SEC is well-represented with four schools in the mix. The Big Ten comes in second with three schools.
Noticeably absent from the list are any representatives of the Pac-12 Conference.
Utah, who most analysts had pegged as the best team in the conference and most likely to make the CFP, was upset by USC on Friday. Nobody seems willing to take Oregon, Colorado, or even 4-0 Cal seriously.
All of the teams except Notre Dame are currently undefeated, so these numbers may change dramatically with the first loss.