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ESPN Releases Big 12 Home-Field Advantage Rankings

A general view of Kansas State's football field.

MANHATTAN, KS - SEPTEMBER 18: A general view during the game between the Auburn Tigers and the Kansas State Wildcats at Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium on September 18, 2014 in Manhattan, Kansas. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)

Here’s how Big 12 teams stack up in terms of home-field advantage, statistically.

Home-field advantage is a difficult metric to quantify. Is it purely based on a team’s win-loss record at home? Or is there something more to it?

Well today ESPN did the dirty work by publishing a quantitative report on which particular teams boast superior home-field advantages by using “performance above expectation,” or PAE (rather than pure wins and losses) as the primary metric.


The real measure of home-field advantage lies in performance, so we examined how every FBS team fared, scoreboard-wise, in every home game in the past 12 seasons. Then we compared those numbers to the Football Power Index* expected margin of victory in those contests. Take last year’s Week 5 Stanford-Washington clash in Seattle. According to FPI, the Huskies were expected to win by 14.7 points but won in a stunning 44-6 romp. U-Dub’s 23.3-point swing — or points above expectation (PAE) — is our metric proxy for home-field performance.

According to the calculations, Louisiana Tech has the best home-field advantage in the nation, as the Bulldogs perform 3.6 points per game better than expected when they play at home.

With that in mind, let’s see where all the Big 12 teams stack up:

1. Kansas State, 3.31 PAE, (No. 2 nationally)

2. Iowa State, 2.54 PAE, (No. 6)

3. Baylor, 1.84 PAE, (No. 12)

4. Oklahoma, 1.84 PAE, (No. 13)

5. West Virginia, 1.54 PAE, (No. 15)

6. TCU, 1.33 PAE, (No. 18)

7. Kansas, 1.27 PAE, (No. 19)

8. Oklahoma State, 1.17 PAE, (No. 23)

9. Texas Tech, .72 PAE, (No. 34)

10. Texas, -2.01 PAE, (No. 104)

You can check out the entire list of all 120 teams here.