We are one-third into the college football season for most teams in the country. A majority of programs have played four of the 12 games on their schedule.
A fast start is important, but it doesn't mean anything if you fall off. There are few things harder in college football than finishing the regular season undefeated, but at least a handful of teams have a decent shot at getting there.
Every week, ESPN updates its FPI rankings. One of the metrics used is win out percentage.
According to the FPI, these six teams are 4-0 and have a better than 10 percent chance at winning out:
- Alabama - 42.4 percent
- Clemson -32.6 percent
- North Texas - 31.1 percent
- Ohio State - 14.2 percent
- Georgia - 13.8 percent
- Notre Dame - 13.8 percent
You can see the full FPI here.
Two of the teams in that group of six have major tests this weekend. Ohio State travels to Penn State, while Notre Dame hosts Stanford.
The last time the Buckeyes played in Happy Valley was two years ago, and they lost. Similarly, Notre Dame lost to Stanford the last time the two played in South Bend two years ago. In fact, the Irish have dropped seven of nine against their West Coast rivals.
Will either of these teams still be able to win out come Sunday morning? We will find out.