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ESPN's Computer: 5 Teams That Will Disappoint In 2018

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It's never too early to look ahead to the 2018 college football season. The Football Power Index helps us do that.

ESPN's computer released its initial rankings for the 2018 season last week. Clemson, not Alabama, came in at No. 1.

The FPI, of course, isn't an exact science, but it can (at times) be a decent predictor of what's to come. So, who's going to disappoint in 2018?

According to the FPI, here are five teams that won't live up to the hype.

1. Michigan

FPI Ranking: No. 11

The Wolverines' FPI ranking is similar to their preseason top 25 rankings. A top 15 finish certainly wouldn't be terrible, but Michigan has bigger goals in mind. After a disappointing finish to 2017, the Ann Arbor program wants to be competing for championships. ESPN's FPI, though, sees multiple Big Ten teams as more capable of that.

2. Oklahoma

FPI Ranking: No. 9

The Sooners are a top-five team in most of the preseason top 25s. The Football Power Index is less confident in OU.

3. West Virginia

FPI Ranking: No. 31

The Mountaineers are No. 10 in ESPN's way-too-early preseason top 25. The FPI, though, doesn't even see West Virginia as a top 25 team. WVU will need huge seasons from Will Grier and his supporting cast to change that.

4. Florida State

FPI Ranking: No. 18

The Seminoles return a ton of young talent and should get starting quarterback Deondre Francois back from injury. FSU was a preseason top-five team in 2017, and some think they could get back to that status in 2018. However, the FPI doesn't see that being the case.

5. LSU

FPI Ranking: No. 26

The Tigers had a decent but not great Year 1 in the Ed Oregeron era. Will Year 2 be any better? The FPI doesn't think so. It sees LSU as a fringe top 25 team at best.


You can view the full FPI rankings here.