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Every Contender’s Playoff Percentage Chances If They Win Out, Per 538

FiveThirtyEight's College Football Playoff projections.

With Miami's loss to Pitt today, here's what the playoff chances now look like for each contending team.

The college football playoff rankings have been sent into chaos once again with No. 2 Miami losing to Pitt today, and we've still got several key matchups this weekend that have yet to take place. FiveThirtyEight has updated its playoff probabilities following the loss, and here's each team's current chances, along with their chances assuming they win out.

Teams are listed by their current likelihood of making the playoff. If your team isn't listed, it means they have less than a 1% chance of making the playoff.

Alabama

  • Current probability: 72%
  • Probability with win out: 99%

Clemson

  • Current probability: 69%
  • Probability with win out: 99%

Oklahoma

  • Current probability: 64%
  • Probability with win out: 99%

Wisconsin

  • Current probability: 47%
  • Probability with win out: 99%

Georgia

  • Current probability: 34%
  • Probability with win out: 95%

Ohio State

  • Current probability: 33%
  • Probability with win out: 73%

Miami

  • Current probability: 30%
  • Probability with win out: 88%

Auburn

  • Current probability: 23%
  • Probability with win out: 97%

TCU

  • Current probability: 12%
  • Probability with win out: 31%

USC

  • Current probability: 8%
  • Probability with win out: 16%

Washington State

  • Current probability: 3%
  • Probability with win out: 32%

Notre Dame

  • Current probability: 3%
  • Probability with win out: 5%

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