Oregon won the Pac-12 Championship Game on Friday night, upsetting Utah and eliminating the Utes from College Football Playoff contention. The Ducks won’t be taking their spot in the playoff, though.
Mario Cristobal’s team has two losses and, barring something shocking happening today and tomorrow, will not be heading to the College Football Playoff.
Oregon can probably blame a Week 1 loss to Auburn for that. The Ducks played a tough Tigers team to open the season and lost.
If Oregon had played, say, Samford in that Week 1 game and won in blowout fashion, the Ducks would currently be 12-1. That might be good enough to make the playoff.
Is there really an advantage to scheduling tough out of conference?
So, if you were @oregonfootball and you could go back and reschedule this season would you still play Auburn or play Wofford to open the season at home?
— Joel Klatt (@joelklatt) December 7, 2019
If Oregon plays an easier opener than Auburn, its 11-1 entering tonight and ranked 5-6-7. Instead it played Auburn, lost close game, now 11-2 instead of 12-1 and have no CFP hopes. At 12-1 they would be in mix for a spot. Risk of the loss outweighs all. And that stinks.
— Chris Fallica (@chrisfallica) December 7, 2019
Oregon scheduled Auburn instead of feasting on a cupcake, and it likely cost the Ducks a CFP berth.
— Barrett Sallee (@BarrettSallee) December 7, 2019
It’s possible the College Football Playoff committee would have taken a 12-1 Oklahoma team or a 12-1 Baylor team over 12-1 Oregon.
And, the Ducks should not have lost on the road to Arizona State. If Oregon wins that game, the Auburn loss doesn’t really matter, either.
Still, it’s fair to say the risk of scheduling a tough non-conference game outweighs the benefits. Most years, 12-1 is going to be good enough to get in.