It’s been over six months since we last saw a college football team take the field, but the wait is nearly over. We’re only weeks away from the start of the 2019 season and the offseason has not been lacking for drama. The latest predictions from ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) seem to indicate that the SEC will once again be the dominant power conference in college football.
ESPN’s FPI is a measure of team strength based on thousands of computer-generated simulations of the season playing out. Here’s how it works in their own words:
The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily.
Alabama has dominated the SEC with only a handful of exceptions since Nick Saban took over. Based on the projections from ESPN’s FPI, that won’t be changing this year.
Here are the win-loss projections for the SEC next season:
SEC East Division:
- Georgia (9.9-2.7)
- Florida (8.3-4.0)
- Missouri (8.1-3.9)
- Tennessee (7.6-4.5)
- Kentucky (6.4-5.7)
- South Carolina (6.1-5.9)
- Vanderbilt (5.3-6.7)
SEC West Division:
- Alabama (11.0-1.6)
- LSU (9.5-2.8)
- Auburn (7.7-4.4)
- Mississippi State (7.7-4.3)
- Texas A&M (7.4-4.7)
- Ole Miss (5.8-6.2)
- Arkansas (4.8-7.2)
As you can see, the two teams at the top remain exactly the same as last year with only a little bit of movement below them in the overall hierarchy.
The SEC was certainly humbled a bit at the end of last season with Georgia and Alabama losing the Sugar Bowl and national title games respectively.
Georgia may have some stiff opposition in the SEC East race, but there can be little doubt that unless something drastic happens, Alabama will be coming out of the SEC West.