Louisville lost to in-state rival Kentucky on Saturday, and it's starting to look like the loss could be very costly for the Cardinals.
Louisville, once a College Football Playoff favorite, stumbled a bit down the stretch, dropping games to both Houston and Kentucky in the final month of the season. It turns out the team's last loss - to the in-state rival Wildcats, could be even more harmful than originally thought.
Assuming Clemson beats Virginia Tech on Saturday, the Tigers will qualify for the College Football Playoff, leaving the Orange Bowl bid to the next-highest ranked ACC team in the rankings. Tuesday, Florida State, despite sitting two games behind Louisville in the standings, jumped the Cardinals. Florida State is now ranked No. 12, while Louisville is No. 13.
Considering neither team plays this weekend, it's hard to see that changing on Sunday.
So as it stands, Florida State would be playing in the Orange Bowl. Louisville would have to settle for a non-New Year's Six bowl as a result. The irony, of course, is that Louisville beat Florida State 63-20.
While it may seem tough for Louisville fans to swallow, it isn't as-if the team didn't have its chances. The Cardinals simply needed to beat Kentucky last Saturday to avoid such a situation.
Nothing is set in stone - the committee could change its mind on Sunday. But Louisville fans shouldn't count on it.