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Oklahoma's Big 12 Championship Is Bad For Ohio State And USC

A pylon with the Big 12 logo.

FORT WORTH, TX - OCTOBER 25: The Big XII logo on a pylon at Amon G. Carter Stadium on October 25, 2014 in Fort Worth, Texas. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)

An OU loss would have been huge.

Oklahoma dominated TCU in the Big 12 championship game today, shellacking the Horned Frogs 41-17 to capture their third straight Big 12 title and a likely playoff berth.

It's great news for Sooner fans, but it's particularly bad news for Ohio State and USC fans, as a TCU victory would have helped each team's playoff chances immensely.

According to FiveThirtyEight, both teams have seen their odds of making the playoff plummet as a result, with USC's chances dropping into the teens, despite factoring in their Pac-12 win last night.

Here are some figures:

Ohio State

Playoff chances before Big 12 championship: 30%

With TCU win: 41%

Current probability: 24%


Playoff chances before Big 12 championship: 23%

With TCU win: 39%

Current probability: 13%

So with the Oklahoma win, USC is essentially out of the playoff race, but Ohio State still has a pretty good shot to make it if the Buckeyes get the win over the Badgers tonight. Without projecting the winners of the ACC and SEC title games, Ohio State's chances of making the playoff jump back to 42 percent.