Every Contender's Playoff Percentage Chances If They Win Out, Per 538
If your favorite team wins out, does it make the College Football Playoff?
FiveThirtyEight has an awesome playoff predictor tool - which shows fans a number of percentage chances associated with their favorite team's odds to make the College Football Playoff later this year. It includes odds a team makes the playoff, as it stands now. It also includes odds a team makes the playoff if it wins the rest of its games.
Does Oklahoma make the playoff if it wins out and wins the Big 12? Is Ohio State in if it wins out and wins the Big Ten? Let's take a look at those kinds of odds.
Here are the odds for all teams that still have realistic shots of winning out.
- If Navy wins out, it has a 7% chance of making the playoff
- If Texas A&M wins out, it has a 5% chance of making the playoff
- If Mississippi State wins out, it has a 4% chance of making the playoff
- If Oregon wins out, it has an 11% chance of making the playoff
- If LSU wins out, it has a 63% chance of making the playoff
- If USF wins out, it has a 5% chance of making the playoff
- If Michigan State wins out, it has a 78% chance of making the playoff
- If Texas wins out, it has a 39% chance of making the playoff
- If Florida wins out, it has a 60% chance of making the playoff
- If Michigan wins out, it has an 85% chance of making the playoff
- If Georgia Tech wins out, it has a 90% chance of making the playoff
- If Texas Tech wins out, it has a 68% chance of making the playoff
- If Stanford wins out, it has a 67% chance of making the playoff
- If Virginia Tech wins out, it has a 74% chance of making the playoff
- If NC State wins out, it has a 90% chance of making the playoff
- If Notre Dame wins out, it has a 35% chance of making the playoff
- If Oklahoma State wins out, it has a 75% chance of making the playoff
- If USC wins out, it has an 87% chance of making the playoff
- If Washington State wins out, it has a 99% chance of making the playoff
- If Auburn wins out, it has a 97% chance of making the playoff
- If Miami wins out, it has a 97% chance of making the playoff
- If TCU wins out, it has a 98% chance of making the playoff
- If Oklahoma wins out, it has a 91% chance of making the playoff
- If Penn State wins out, it has a higher than 99% chance of making the playoff
- If Ohio State wins out, it has an 89% chance of making the playoff
- If Wisconsin wins out, it has a 99% chance of making the playoff
- If Georgia wins out, it has a higher than 99% chance of making the playoff
- If Washington wins out, it has a higher than 99% chance of making the playoff
- If Clemson wins out, it has a higher than 99% chance of making the playoff
- If Alabama wins out, it has a higher than 99% chance of making the playoff
You can check out the tool here.
