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5 Reasons Why LSU Will Beat Alabama

Alabama is going down.

Saturday night, the No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide hosts the No. 10 LSU Tigers under the lights at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Many consider Alabama unbeatable, but I would not be so quick to roll out the crimson red carpet for a victory over the Tigers just yet.

Here are five reasons why Mike the Tiger will be bringing the party back to Baton Rouge after an upset victory in Tuscaloosa.

5.AJ McCarron has not dominated LSU

Alabama’s senior quarterback, A.J. McCarron, has a 2-1 record against LSU in his career (Including the 2012 National Championship Game) but has not flourished in those starts. In the three games against LSU, McCarron has thrown for only one touchdown with one interception. The obvious argument here is that he does not have to put the team on his right arm to win, as Alabama’s great defense and running ability certainly are capable of getting the job done.

LSU must score first and subsequently put the game on the arm of McCarron. Don’t be surprised if the Tigers accept the opening kickoff, given the opportunity. McCarron is as good of a game manager as there is in all of college football, but he's rarely been asked to bring his team back from deficits. He has not been called on to step up and win a game many times in his successful career (save the Texas A&M game).

4. LSU’s wide receivers > Alabama’s wide receivers

Alabama traditionally doesn’t have to throw the ball much to win, but LSU does have the advantage over Alabama in the passing department. As the game rolls on, that advantage could pay dividends for the Tigers. The top two targets for LSU’s quarterback Zach Mettenberger, juniors Odell Beckham and Jarvis Landry, have combined for a whopping 1,891 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns on the year. The best weapons for Alabama quarterback AJ McCarron, receivers Kevin Norwood and DeAndrew White, have racked up only 677 yards and six touchdowns between them. In short, LSU should try to get itself in a shootout.

Beckham and Landry present a real challenge for the Crimson Tide’s defense. Those elements should make for a more interesting game than most are anticipating.

3.Alabama always seems to drop one SEC matchup at home.

Despite winning three national championships in the past four seasons, Alabama has also lost at least one SEC game at Bryant-Denny Stadium in each of the past three seasons. The Tide's matchup with LSU on Saturday will be the fourth consecutive season that Alabama gets rolled at home. Last year it was Johnny Football who handed Bama its annual home loss. In 2011 it was LSU and in 2010 it was Auburn.

Even Alabama has been “vulnerable” at home during its dynasty run. If any team is going to do the unthinkable, it'll be LSU. This rivalry has been very even in recent years; in the last eight matchups they share a record of 4-4.

2. Zach Mettenberger’s legacy

The Tigers have a record of 7-2 (3-2 in conference play) which means that they're probably out of the running for the BCS National Championship Game. Mettenberger is a senior and this is his final chance to cement his legacy as a figure to be remembered in Baton Rouge. Something tells me the senior is going to step up in what could be his last big chance to shine.

Mettenberger has thrown for 2,492 yards and 19 touchdowns on the season, placing him at number two in the SEC in both categories. He has surpassed a 200 quarterback rating in five contests this year. And remember, LSU is the underdog, so he has nothing to lose but an entire legacy to gain.

1. Jeremy Hill

LSU’s sophomore running back Jeremy Hill is developing into one of the nation’s top backs. He is coming off of one of his best games of the season with 143 yards and two scores on only 14 carries. LSU will look to utilize Hill early and often against the legendary Alabama defense. Texas A&M was able to put up 164 yards on the ground against Alabama early in the season. While Alabama’s defense has looked impenetrable since, it hasn't faced a running back with the capabilities of Hill.

Hill is averaging 6.3 yards-per-carry in SEC play. The stage on Saturday night will be his chance to show the nation what kind of player he can be. Hill will make Alabama pay with his rare blend of speed, strength and vision.

The upset of the year can be viewed nationwide at 8:00 PM ET on CBS.