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ESPN's FiveThirtyEight Releases Updated College Football Playoff Probability Rankings

538 week 11 playoff probability rankings.


Every week, ESPN's advanced statistics-based FiveThirtyEight updates its probability rankings for the College Football Playoff, utilizing three different sets of rankings: the selection committee's most recent Top 25, in-house Elo ratings, and ESPN's predictive FPI. This week, FiveThirtyEight's top three teams match what the selection committee has, but No. 4 is a slight surprise: the Oklahoma Sooners. OU is aided by a No. 1 ranking by FPI, jumping them over teams like Notre Dame and Oklahoma State.

For more on how FiveThirtyEight's system works, read this by the site's editor, Nate Silver. Here is the probability ranking table:

">November 18, 2015