In the history of the NCAA Tournament, there has only been one 16-seed that has taken down a 1-seed. Of course, it happened last year when No. 16 UMBC knocked off No. 1 UVA in a stunner. So, which 1-seed could be in trouble this year?
ESPN’s Tournament Challenge allows you to see what other users are picking ahead of the tournament – at least collectively. Their “Who Picked Whom” feature shows you which teams fans have faith in heading into the event.
As-of Tuesday afternoon, of the four 1-seeds, it won’t shock you to hear that Virginia, again, is the team that fans have losing most often in the first round.
Duke, the overall 1-seed, is projected to move out of the first round by 97.7% of users. Gonzaga and North Carolina are both at 97.1%. Virginia lags behind at 96.5%.
It makes sense – fans saw Virginia lose last year and fear it could happen again this year. UVA takes on Gardner-Webb this time around.
Oddly enough, Gonzaga is the 1-seed that fans are projecting as the most-likely team to lose in the second round. They take on Syracuse.
Still, Virginia is the fourth-most picked team to win the national title – behind Duke, North Carolina and Gonzaga. We’ll find out soon enough if the Cavaliers can exorcise their demons from last year.