Skip to main content

ESPN Sees A Big First Round Upset Happening Tonight

ESPN's college basketball logo.


We've had one upset in the NCAA Tournament so far. Miami, a No. 6 seed, fell to No. 11 seed Loyola Chicago.

Is another one coming tonight?

ESPN thinks so.

It likes No. 12 seed Davidson to take down No. 5 seed Kentucky. Here's why:

If Kentucky were playing any other 12-seed in the opening round, I would pick the Wildcats to win by 20. Right now, Kentucky is capable of dominating any team that allows John Calipari's squad to dictate the flow of the game.

They're not a great 3-point-shooting team, but they ruin you with their size, explosiveness and skill. They're relentless now.

But Florida disrupted everything Kentucky attempted to do when the Gators limited their turnovers and made 41 percent of their 3-point attempts in a win on March 3, the Wildcats' second loss of the year to the Gators.

Davidson has averaged 10 made 3-pointers in its past four games, a 4-0 stretch that includes two wins over Rhode Island and another over St. Bonaventure, a pair of NCAA tournament teams. Peyton Aldridge leads a group of seven players -- from 6-foot-2 to 6-foot-11 -- who've made at least 39 percent of their 3-pointers this season.

Yeah, Davidson's best chance to beat Kentucky involves turning the game into a shootout and shredding this talented group from beyond the arc.

They're capable of doing just that.

OddsShark's computer agrees with ESPN. It likes Davidson.

Score prediction for Davidson vs. Kentucky.

You can view ESPN's full predictions here.

Kentucky and Davidson are set to tip off at 7:10 p.m. E.T. on CBS.