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ESPN: The Most "Overrated" Team Heading Into The NCAA Tournament

A closeup of a Wilson Final Four basketball.

ARLINGTON, TX - APRIL 04: The Wilson basketball with the Final Four logo is seen as the Connecticut Huskies practice ahead of the 2014 NCAA Men's Final Four at AT&T Stadium on April 4, 2014 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)

The 2018 NCAA Tournament's first round is less than 24 hours away. It's set to begin on Thursday.

Which teams are you picking to go deep this year? Which teams are you picking to lose early?

There is one No. 1 seed you should probably stay away from. That's what ESPN's computer rankings think, anyway.

The most "overrated" team in the 2018 NCAA Tournament, according to ESPN's Basketball Power Index, is Xavier. The Musketeers are the No. 1 seed in the West Region.

ESPN's BPI, though, thinks Xavier is more like a No. 3 seed. It has Xavier ranked No. 11 in the country.

Other ESPN analysts seem to agree.

Jay Williams, for example, sees Xavier getting upset early.

“I don’t see Xavier getting past the second round,” Williams said on ESPN this evening. “I have Missouri beating them.”

A second round matchup against Missouri would be pretty tough for the No. 1-seeded Xavier. They’d be facing a lot of NBA talent.

Xavier is set to begin play on Friday. Their No. 16 seed opponent will be decided in a play-in game tonight.