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ESPN Computer Predicts The NFL's Worst Team In 2020

A general view of the Jacksonville Jaguars stadium.

(Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)

The No. 1 overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft is shaping up to be a very special one.

Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence is currently projected to go No. 1 overall in next year's NFL Draft. He's seen by many as a potentially once-in-a-generation quarterback prospect.

Lawrence has starred at Clemson for two seasons, leading the Tigers to a national championship, and he's widely expected to leave school following his junior season this fall.

Which NFL team will be lucky enough to get him? ESPN's computer model, the Football Power Index, has made its prediction for the worst record in the league in 2020.

According to ESPN's projections, the Jacksonville Jaguars will have the worst record in the NFL in 2020. The Jaguars have Gardner Minshew at quarterback, but according to the FPI, they'll have a chance to replace him with Lawrence.


The Jacksonville Jaguars are rolling the dice on Gardner Minshew II under center, and FPI is not optimistic about it. The upside for Jacksonville? It is the most likely team to land the No. 1 pick in the 2021 NFL draft, with a 23% chance. The Washington Redskins, who just selected No. 2 in April, are the next highest with a 13% shot.

But even if the Jags don't land the top pick, there's a very good chance they'll still land a top pick. There's an 85% chance that Jacksonville, which is projected by FPI to win a league-low 4.9 games this season, is in the top 10 of next year's draft.

Minshew showed promise as a rookie, but if you have a chance to draft Trevor Lawrence, you probably don't pass on it.

Who knows what will actually happen, though. A year ago, no one was saying that Joe Burrow would be the No. 1 overall pick. Perhaps another quarterback will make a surprising run at No. 1 overall.

Most likely, though, it'll be Lawrence, and according to ESPN's projections, it'll be the Jaguars with the first chance to take him.