Oddsmakers aren't wrong very often, but sometimes they are.
Now, with the 2016 college football season being a couple of months away, is a good time to look at what the oddsmakers might be getting wrong.
Every sports book has their national title odds out and most of them are pretty similar across the board.
We've decided to look at Bovada's odds for the 2017 College Football Playoff National Championship and tell you which five teams are being most-overrated.
We should note that with futures' odds, the public's gambling habits play a significant factor, so when we say "the oddsmakers are overrating this team," part of that should be attributed to the betting community and not the oddsmakers themselves.
Without further ado, here are college football's five most-overrated teams by the oddsmakers heading into the 2016 season.
Start With No. 5 ??? >>>5. USC
Current national title odds: 40/1
USC has one of the more talented rosters in all of college football, featuring electric wide receivers like JuJu Schuster-Smith and Adoree' Jackson, and only has the 11th-best odds to win it all in 2016 - but that's still too much. Along with a talented roster comes the most difficult schedule in the country heading into the 2016 college football season. That, and that alone, makes it just about impossible for USC to get it done this time around. Sorry, Trojans fans.
Not only do the Trojans open the season inside AT&T Stadium, home of the Dallas Cowboys, against Alabama, but they also have road games against Stanford, Utah, Arizona, UCLA and Washington. Not to mention home slates against Cal, Oregon and Notre Dame. That's as difficult as it gets, folks. And if they want to make it to the College Football Playoff for a chance to win it all, they'll have to win the Pac-12 Championship Game, too.
Even at 40/1, the oddsmakers are overrating the Trojans ahead of 2016.
Current national title odds: 25/1
The Bulldogs are tied with Ole Miss for the 13th-best odds to win it all this season.
Georgia will be a good team in Year 1 of the Kirby Smart era, but they're not going to be seriously contending for a national championship.
The Bulldogs might be starting a true freshman at quarterback and there are still serious questions surrounding Nick Chubb.
This feels like a team with a ceiling of about nine wins, which would be fine, but not nearly good enough to bet on to win it all this season.
Next: No. 3 ??? >>>3. Tennessee
Current national title odds: 14/1
Tennessee only lost four games in 2015 - and they all were decided by one score or less. The Vols finished the season on a high note, blasting Northwestern in the Outback Bowl, 45-6. They also return a number of stars on both sides of the ball - including quarterback Josh Dobbs. So it makes sense that UT fans are excited heading into the 2016 campaign. Especially since head coach Butch Jones has seen a two-win improvement each year he's been on campus.
But should they really have the sixth-best odds in the entire country to win the national title? Remember - they have to get out of the SEC in order to reach the College Football Playoff. Getting out of the SEC usually requires beating Alabama - maybe twice. Alabama, despite some big losses to the NFL, will likely open as the No. 1 team in the country next year. Tennessee hasn't beaten Alabama in nine years - a fact most Vols fans find horrific.
Tennessee would have to win the SEC East - something it hasn't done since 2007 - and then beat whichever powerhouse comes out of the SEC West. It's possible, but it's hard to put money on.
Next: No. 2 ??? >>>2. Michigan Wolverines
Current national title odds: 10/1
Most rational fans did not expect Michigan's turnaround under Jim Harbaugh to be so sudden. Inheriting a Brady Hoke roster with an Iowa quarterback, Harbaugh took Michigan from 5-7 in 2014 to 10-3 record and a few plays from a potential Big Ten title in 2015. We totally get the temptation to vault the Wolverines to the status of "potential national champion" this fall, and maybe Harbaugh proves us all wrong again. Logic dictates that this will take a little more time, though.
Michigan's non-conference schedule is no huge challenge, but it still needs to face Michigan State and Ohio State in division, and cross-over games with Wisconsin and at Iowa, two of the best teams from the Big Ten West. The Wolverines also have to replace quarterback Jake Rudock, who entered last season with little fanfare and turned in a very nice season in his one year in Ann Arbor. Between Alex Malzone, Shane Morris, John O'Korn, and Wilton Speight, there are some intriguing options to replace him, but none have a ton of experience yet.
Michigan may be very good once again, perhaps it even takes a step up from last year's 10-win finish. There's still a fair gap between the Michigan program and the Alabama, Ohio State, and Florida State teams of the past few years. Get excited, Michigan fans. This year could be very special. We just wouldn't start throwing too much money around yet.
1. Ohio State
Current national title odds: 7/1
The Buckeyes are currently tied with Alabama for the best odds to win it all this season.
That's just too high for an Urban Meyer team that, save for J.T. Barrett, is widely unproven on offense and needs to replace a significant amount of stars on defense.
Ohio State has the potential to win it all, sure, and it won't be that surprising if the Buckeyes win the Big Ten and make the College Football Playoff. Meyer's been recruiting at an extremely high level and OSU should still be the most-talented team in the conference.
But this should not be the team with the best odds to win it all.
OSU, after all, has an over/under win total of 8.5, per the Golden Nugget, the 14th highest total of any team in the country.
Your money is better spent elsewhere when it comes to national title odds.