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ESPN’s FPI Projects USC's Record For The 2018 Season

A closeup of Clay Helton in his USC football gear.

LOS ANGELES, CA - NOVEMBER 07: Head coach Clay Helton of the USC Trojans before the game against the Arizona Wildcats at Los Angeles Coliseum on November 7, 2015 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)

After finishing first in the Pac-12 and 12th in the final College Football Playoff rankings, it looks like the Trojans will have a little competition if they hope to capture back-to-back conference titles.

ESPN's FPI has been updated to include projected win-loss records. The Trojans, who are the No. 15 ranked team per FPI, have a projected record of 8.7 wins and 4.0 losses.

A reminder on FPI:

The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily.

Basically, the formula suggests if USC loses four games the Trojans will remain in the running for a Pac-12 title game.

USC is given just a .3% chance to run the table, and a 25.4% chance to win the conference. They're playing against the 14th-hardest schedule in the country.

Here's a look at the top 20 of ESPN's FPI, right now. Washington and Stanford are ranked higher than USC at No. 6 and No. 13 respectively.

ESPN's Football Power Index Top 20.

While ESPN predicts USC will have trouble dismantling Stanford, Texas and Notre Dame, the Trojans are being given a 71.9% to beat UCLA and a 72.4% chance to top Cal.

You can check out ESPN's entire FPI here.