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ESPN’s FPI Projects Georgia’s Record For 2018 Season

A closeup of Kirby Smart in Georgia Bulldogs apparel.

AUBURN, AL - NOVEMBER 11: Head coach Kirby Smart of the Georgia Bulldogs walks the field prior to facing the Auburn Tigers at Jordan Hare Stadium on November 11, 2017 in Auburn, Alabama. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Will the Georgia Bulldogs compete for a national championship once again in 2018? ESPN’s FPI seemingly predicts that the Dawgs will be among the sport's elite once again.

Georgia went 13-2 in a monster year two under Kirby Smart. The Bulldogs, which won the SEC before losing to Alabama in the title game, finished ranked second in both polls.

ESPN’s FPI has been updated to include projected win-loss records. The Aggies, who are the No. 3 ranked team per FPI, have a projected record of 10.9 wins and 1.9 losses.

A reminder on FPI:

The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily.

Basically, the formula suggests they will lose one or two games before bowl season. That would be a repeat of the 2017 season, when the Dawgs fell just once, to Auburn in the regular season. Of course, UGA got revenge on the Tigers in the SEC title game.

Georgia is given a 9.7-percent chance to run the table, and a 41.6-percent chance to win the conference. They’re playing against the 43rd-hardest schedule in the country.

Here’s a look at the top 10 of ESPN’s FPI, right now. In the SEC, Alabama and Auburn also make the cut. Clemson is the No. 1 team heading into 2018.

ESPN's 2018 College Football Power Index.

ESPN has Georgia favored in every regular season game this season. The closest match-up is projected as the one against Auburn, which FPI gives Georgia a 66.7-percent chance to win.

In the SEC East, Georgia's closest games are projected as at Mizzou, vs. Florida, and vs. South Carolina. Still, FPI thinks the Dawgs have at least a 78-percent chance to win all of those.

You can check out ESPN’s entire FPI here.