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Computer Model Predicts SEC Tournament Outcome

auburn and kentucky are playing in the elite eight

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - MARCH 31: PJ Washington #25 of the Kentucky Wildcats shoots the ball against the Auburn Tigers during the 2019 NCAA Basketball Tournament Midwest Regional at Sprint Center on March 31, 2019 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)

The first round of the 2022 SEC Men's Basketball Tournament begins this Wednesday and concludes on Sunday. Everyone has their predictions, but what do the computer models believe the outcome will be?

According to Ken Pomeroy through his KenPom.com analytics model, the No. 3-seeded Kentucky Wildcats have the top odds. John Calipari's team edges out No. 1 Auburn with a 30.7-percent chance to win the tournament against Auburn's 26.1-percent chance.

Coming in third is No. 2 Tennessee with a 20.3-percent chance to win the tournament. Arkansas and LSU are a distant fourth and fifth at 8.8-percent and 7.0-percent respectively. No other SEC team has higher than a 4-percent chance to win the tournament.

Interestingly enough, while the Wildcats have the best odds of winning the tournament, they don't even have the top odds of making the Championship Game, or even the Semifinals. Auburn have a 50.2-percent chance to make the Championship Game, while Kentucky have a 48.7-percent chance.

Kentucky also have just the third-highest odds of reaching the Semifinals with their 76.6-percent odds sitting behind Auburn and Tennessee.

Auburn did not participate in the 2021 SEC Tournament due to a self-imposed ban. But they returned with a vengeance this past season, winning the regular season title and securing the top seed.

But the Wildcats have been thriving with forward Oscar Tshiebwe coming off 13 straight double-doubles.

It's going to be a fun SEC Tournament without a doubt.