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Analytics-Based NFL Mock Draft Has Joe Burrow Going 5th Overall

Joe Burrow at the NFL Combine in Indianapolis.

INDIANAPOLIS, IN - FEBRUARY 25: Joe Burrow #QB02 of the LSU Tigers speaks to the media at the Indiana Convention Center on February 25, 2020 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images) *** Local Capture *** Joe Burrow

Former LSU QB and 2019 Heisman-winner Joe Burrow is going to be the first overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, right? The analytics say otherwise.

As we're all aware, analytics have become an integral tool for sports across the country. The latest use of analytics has come in the form of a 2020 NFL mock Draft.

NFL.com's Cynthia Frelund is putting her analytics to the test in her latest mock draft. The data-driven model doesn't necessarily try and predict the actual order of the draft - instead, the mock-draft's selections are essentially "what teams should do if winning the most games in 2020 is the only goal."

So according to the analytics, the Bengals should select Chase Young, not Joe Burrow. In fact, Frelund's mock draft suggests Burrow would slide down to the Miami Dolphins at pick No. 5. Here's how the analytics would decide the first five picks in the upcoming draft, according to NFL.com:

  1. Cincinnati Bengals - Ohio State DE Chase Young
  2. Washington Redskins - Georgia OT Andrew Thomas
  3. Detroit Lions - Ohio State CB Jeff Okudah
  4. New York Giants - Iowa OT Tristan Wirfs
  5. Miami Dolphins - LSU QB Joe Burrow

Most experts would have to disagree with this analytics-based draft.

Burrow's historic 2019 season has scouts convinced he's the next elite NFL QB.

If the Bengals passed on the former LSU passer, there'd be an uproar in Cincinnati.